Intelligence Espionage

Analytic Support to Intelligence in Counterinsurgencies by Walter L. Perry, John Gordon

By Walter L. Perry, John Gordon

Operations in Iraq and Afghanistan have proven that U.S. forces want more-effective thoughts and techniques to behavior counterinsurgency. they'll probably face comparable, abnormal conflict strategies from destiny enemies. This monograph examines the character of the modern rebel hazard and gives insights on utilizing operational research suggestions to help intelligence operations in counterinsurgencies.

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What skills have been ascertained among group members? Insurgent goals What are the insurgent goals? Are they striving to overthrow the existing government or gain autonomy for a region? How can the government take advantage of each goal? Information from detainees How can we best leverage information obtained from detainees to counter insurgent attacks? Evidence from forensic and biometric assessments How can we use forensic and biometric evidence to locate insurgents and then to capture them, kill them, or monitor their activities?

1 David C. : RAND Corporation, OP-168-OSD, 2007. 1 Proto-Insurgency In the initial, proto-insurgency phase, the movement is small and weak. It is normally composed of a small cadre of “true believers” who are strongly committed to dramatic change in the political-economic status quo of a nation or region. At this stage their capabilities—including their potential to “make trouble”—are limited. , the overthrow of the existing government), but these embryonic groups may actually be at odds with each other.

They will have probably established physical control over various parts of the country and will likely be in a position to contest government control in other areas. If their objective is to establish an autonomous region broken away from control of the existing government, they will probably be The Nature of Modern Insurgency 11 well along that path. 3 From the point of view of the government’s intelligence and security forces, the roles of the military and police have almost certainly been reversed in this stage.

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